Spot XRP ETF Approved by June 30
YES if the SEC approves any spot XRP ETF for trading on or before June 30, 2026.
42% implied probability
58% implied probability
Volume
$1.8M
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
5,612
42%
58%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission issues a final approval order for any spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) on or before June 30, 2026 23:59 EST, as evidenced by an official SEC release or 19b-4 amendment order.
Fallback / Invalid
Partial or delegated-authority approvals that are stayed before the deadline do not count.
Resolution Source
SEC 19b-4 Filings & EDGAR Database — sec.gov
Trading Deadline
Jun 30, 2026
Market Context
Event markets cover binary catalysts: ETF approvals, hard forks, regulatory decisions and major listings. Pricing is driven by filing dates, SEC comment periods, and leaked or briefed information. Expect sharp re-pricings around procedural milestones rather than gradual drift.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$18K on NO at 56¢
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$18K on NO at 57¢
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade