Spot Solana ETF Approved by June 30
YES if the SEC approves any spot Solana ETF for trading on or before June 30, 2026.
59% implied probability
41% implied probability
Volume
$4.1M
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
11,248
59%
41%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission issues a final approval order for any spot Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) on or before June 30, 2026 23:59 EST, as evidenced by an official SEC release or 19b-4 amendment order. Conditional approvals count if they allow listing without further SEC action.
Fallback / Invalid
Partial or delegated-authority approvals that are stayed before the deadline do not count. If the SEC is unable to act due to extraordinary circumstances (e.g., government shutdown extending past deadline), market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
SEC 19b-4 Filings & EDGAR Database — sec.gov
Trading Deadline
Jun 30, 2026
Market Context
Event markets cover binary catalysts: ETF approvals, hard forks, regulatory decisions and major listings. Pricing is driven by filing dates, SEC comment periods, and leaked or briefed information. Expect sharp re-pricings around procedural milestones rather than gradual drift.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$18K on YES at 57¢
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$35K on YES at 58¢
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade