Microsoft Q3 FY26 Revenue Above $82B
YES if Microsoft reports Q3 FY26 total revenue exceeding $82 billion.
68% implied probability
32% implied probability
Volume
$14.8K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
42
68%
32%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if Microsoft Corporation reports total revenue strictly greater than $82.0 billion for Q3 FY26 (ending March 31, 2026) in its earnings release on April 29, 2026. Exactly $82.0B resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If Microsoft delays earnings beyond May 13, 2026 or changes its fiscal calendar, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
Microsoft Investor Relations — microsoft.com/investor
Trading Deadline
Apr 29, 2026
Market Context
Corporate earnings markets price the management guidance range against whisper numbers and buy-side consensus. The highest-conviction trades cluster in segment-level bets (Cloud, AWS, Ads) where the disclosure track record is most consistent.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$35K on YES at $0.66
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$8K on YES at $0.67
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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Place Order
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