Microsoft Cloud Revenue Above $52B
YES if Microsoft Intelligent Cloud revenue exceeds $52 billion for Q3 FY26.
74% implied probability
26% implied probability
Volume
$8.7K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
28
74%
26%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if Microsoft Corporation reports Intelligent Cloud segment revenue strictly greater than $52.0 billion for Q3 FY26 in its earnings release on April 29, 2026. Exactly $52.0B resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If Microsoft does not report Intelligent Cloud as a distinct segment, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
Microsoft Investor Relations — microsoft.com/investor
Trading Deadline
Apr 29, 2026
Market Context
Corporate earnings markets price the management guidance range against whisper numbers and buy-side consensus. The highest-conviction trades cluster in segment-level bets (Cloud, AWS, Ads) where the disclosure track record is most consistent.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$48K on YES at $0.72
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$35K on YES at $0.73
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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Place Order
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