Amazon Q1 2026 Operating Income Above $19B
YES if Amazon reports Q1 2026 operating income exceeding $19 billion.
62% implied probability
38% implied probability
Volume
$7.6K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
24
62%
38%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if Amazon.com, Inc. reports GAAP operating income strictly greater than $19.0 billion for Q1 2026 in its earnings release on April 29, 2026. Exactly $19.0B resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If Amazon delays earnings beyond May 13, 2026, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
Amazon Investor Relations — ir.aboutamazon.com
Trading Deadline
Apr 29, 2026
Market Context
Corporate earnings markets price the management guidance range against whisper numbers and buy-side consensus. The highest-conviction trades cluster in segment-level bets (Cloud, AWS, Ads) where the disclosure track record is most consistent.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$35K on YES at $0.60
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$8K on YES at $0.61
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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Place Order
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