Meta Beats Q1 2026 Revenue Guidance
YES if Meta Q1 2026 actual revenue exceeds the high end of its prior guidance range.
45% implied probability
55% implied probability
Volume
$543K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
2,123
45%
55%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if Meta Platforms, Inc. Q1 2026 actual revenue strictly exceeds the upper bound of the revenue guidance range provided in its Q4 2025 earnings release. Exactly matching the high end resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If Meta did not provide explicit Q1 2026 revenue guidance, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
Meta Investor Relations — investor.fb.com
Trading Deadline
Apr 29, 2026
Market Context
Corporate earnings markets price the management guidance range against whisper numbers and buy-side consensus. The highest-conviction trades cluster in segment-level bets (Cloud, AWS, Ads) where the disclosure track record is most consistent.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$18K on NO at 53¢
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$35K on NO at 54¢
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade