Fed Holds Rates in April
YES if the Federal Reserve maintains the federal funds target range unchanged at its April 29, 2026 meeting.
72% implied probability
28% implied probability
Volume
$18.2K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
47
72%
28%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the FOMC announces no change to the federal funds target rate range in its April 29, 2026 statement. Any increase or decrease in the target range resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If the FOMC meeting is postponed or canceled, market resolves invalid and all positions are refunded.
Resolution Source
Federal Reserve FOMC Statement — federalreserve.gov
Trading Deadline
Apr 29, 2026
Market Context
Monetary policy markets respond sharply to economic releases, Fed speakers, and global risk sentiment. Traders track dot-plot projections, rate futures, and inflation prints. Prices often move most aggressively in the 48 hours before and during the policy statement.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$48K on YES at $0.70
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$18K on YES at $0.71
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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Place Order
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