ECB Deposit Rate at 2.00%
YES if the ECB deposit facility rate remains exactly 2.00% after the April 30, 2026 decision.
58% implied probability
42% implied probability
Volume
$456K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
1,567
58%
42%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the ECB deposit facility rate is announced as 2.00% following the April 30, 2026 Governing Council meeting. Any other rate resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If the ECB meeting is postponed or the rate announcement is unclear, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
ECB Monetary Policy Decisions — ecb.europa.eu
Trading Deadline
Apr 30, 2026
Market Context
Monetary policy markets respond sharply to economic releases, Fed speakers, and global risk sentiment. Traders track dot-plot projections, rate futures, and inflation prints. Prices often move most aggressively in the 48 hours before and during the policy statement.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$8K on YES at 56¢
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$12K on YES at 57¢
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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