MarketsCentral BanksECB Deposit Rate at 2.00%
Central BanksEnds Apr 30, 2026

ECB Deposit Rate at 2.00%

YES if the ECB deposit facility rate remains exactly 2.00% after the April 30, 2026 decision.

YesFavored
$0.58

58% implied probability

+$0.03
No
$0.42

42% implied probability

-$0.03

Volume

$4.5K

Open Interest

$234K

Traders

17

Yes
+$0.14

58%

No

42%

High58%
Low44%
Updated continuously

Resolution Rules

How this market will be settled

Resolution Rule

Resolves YES if the ECB deposit facility rate is announced as 2.00% following the April 30, 2026 Governing Council meeting. Any other rate resolves NO.

Fallback / Invalid

If the ECB meeting is postponed or the rate announcement is unclear, market resolves invalid.

Resolution Source

ECB Monetary Policy Decisions — ecb.europa.eu

Trading Deadline

Apr 30, 2026

View complete resolution rules

Market Context

Central Banks

Monetary policy markets respond sharply to economic releases, Fed speakers, and global risk sentiment. Traders track dot-plot projections, rate futures, and inflation prints. Prices often move most aggressively in the 48 hours before and during the policy statement.

Recent Activity

Position opened

$8K on YES at $0.56

3h ago

Resolution source update

Official data release confirmed

3h ago

Position opened

$12K on YES at $0.57

24h ago

Liquidity milestone

Market crossed 1,000 unique traders

1d ago

Place Order

Market Order
Connect wallet
USDC
Price$0.58
Shares0.00
Potential Return
$0.00+0%

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