ECB Holds Rates in April
YES if the European Central Bank leaves all three key policy rates unchanged on April 30, 2026.
65% implied probability
35% implied probability
Volume
$8.9K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
23
65%
35%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the ECB Governing Council announces no change to the deposit facility rate, main refinancing rate, and marginal lending facility rate on April 30, 2026. Any change to any rate resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If the ECB meeting is postponed or canceled, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
ECB Monetary Policy Decisions — ecb.europa.eu
Trading Deadline
Apr 30, 2026
Market Context
Monetary policy markets respond sharply to economic releases, Fed speakers, and global risk sentiment. Traders track dot-plot projections, rate futures, and inflation prints. Prices often move most aggressively in the 48 hours before and during the policy statement.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$35K on YES at $0.63
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$48K on YES at $0.64
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade