April 2026 PPI Above 4.0%
YES if the April 2026 headline PPI exceeds 4.0% year-over-year.
29% implied probability
71% implied probability
Volume
$3.2K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
12
29%
71%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports April 2026 Producer Price Index for final demand year-over-year change strictly greater than 4.0%. Exactly 4.0% resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If the April 2026 PPI release is delayed beyond May 29, 2026, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
Bureau of Labor Statistics PPI Release — bls.gov
Trading Deadline
May 15, 2026
Market Context
Inflation markets key off CPI, PCE, and producer price nowcasts. Base effects, shelter components, and core services ex-housing are the typical drivers. Liquidity spikes in the final week as weekly gasoline data and wage indicators firm up expectations.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$48K on NO at $0.69
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$35K on NO at $0.70
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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Place Order
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