MicroStrategy BTC Holdings Above 650K
YES if MicroStrategy (MSTR) reports total BTC holdings exceeding 650,000 in its Q1 2026 filing.
42% implied probability
58% implied probability
Volume
$5.9K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
21
42%
58%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if MicroStrategy Incorporated reports total bitcoin holdings strictly greater than 650,000 BTC in its official Q1 2026 earnings release or 8-K filing by May 1, 2026. Exactly 650,000 resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If MicroStrategy delays the filing beyond May 15, 2026, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
MicroStrategy 8-K / Q1 2026 Earnings Release — microstrategy.com/investor
Trading Deadline
May 1, 2026
Market Context
Post-earnings drift markets combine fundamentals with order-flow dynamics. Options-implied move, AH reaction, and sector correlation typically determine settlement. Traders often hedge these with the underlying equity to isolate the binary question.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$12K on NO at $0.56
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$12K on NO at $0.57
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade