Microsoft Closes Higher After Earnings
YES if MSFT closes higher on April 30, 2026 than its April 29, 2026 close.
52% implied probability
48% implied probability
Volume
$6.5K
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
22
52%
48%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if the official closing price of MSFT on NASDAQ on April 30, 2026 is strictly higher than the official closing price on April 29, 2026. Unchanged price resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If NASDAQ is closed or trading is halted for the full session on either day, market resolves invalid.
Resolution Source
NASDAQ Official Closing Price — nasdaq.com
Trading Deadline
Apr 30, 2026
Market Context
Post-earnings drift markets combine fundamentals with order-flow dynamics. Options-implied move, AH reaction, and sector correlation typically determine settlement. Traders often hedge these with the underlying equity to isolate the binary question.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$48K on YES at $0.50
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$35K on YES at $0.51
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
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Place Order
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