Bitcoin New All-Time High in Q2 2026
YES if BTC sets a new all-time high UTC daily close between April 1 and June 30, 2026.
63% implied probability
37% implied probability
Volume
$2.8M
Open Interest
$234K
Traders
7,412
63%
37%
Resolution Rules
How this market will be settled
Resolution Rule
Resolves YES if any Coinbase BTC/USD UTC daily close between April 1, 2026 00:00:00 UTC and June 30, 2026 23:59:59 UTC strictly exceeds the all-time high daily close as of March 31, 2026. Matching the prior ATH resolves NO.
Fallback / Invalid
If Coinbase BTC/USD market is unavailable, the median UTC close across Binance, Kraken, and Bitstamp is used.
Resolution Source
Coinbase BTC/USD Daily Close — coinbase.com
Trading Deadline
Jun 30, 2026
Market Context
Crypto price markets reflect aggregate conviction on BTC, ETH, SOL and relative-value pairs. Liquidity concentrates around round-number targets and all-time-high thresholds, with the sharpest moves typically clustered around macro prints, ETF flow data, and major CEX/DEX volume shifts. Carry tends to drift toward the more favored side in the final 72 hours.
Recent Activity
Position opened
$48K on YES at 61¢
Resolution source update
Official data release confirmed
Position opened
$35K on YES at 62¢
Liquidity milestone
Market crossed 1,000 unique traders
Place Order
Market OrderConnect wallet to execute trade